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» LymeNet Flash » Questions and Discussion » Medical Questions » VERY interesting stats! Rocking the IDSA/CDC theories

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Author Topic: VERY interesting stats! Rocking the IDSA/CDC theories
Tincup
Honored Contributor (10K+ posts)
Member # 5829

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Can someone please send the IDSA a stack of diapers? And please send some to the CDC too.

With all these studies coming out continuing to prove them wrong, it looks like they may need them!

[lol]


Ticks Tick Borne Dis. 2011 Sep;2(3):129-36. Epub 2011 Jul 28.

Prospective study on the incidence of infection by Borrelia burgdorferi sensu lato after a tick bite in a highly endemic area of Switzerland.

Huegli D, Moret J, Rais O, Moosmann Y, Erard P, Malinverni R, Gern L.

Institut de Biologie, Laboratoire d'Eco-Epidmiologie, Universit de Neuchtel, 2000 Neuchtel, Switzerland.

The periurban forest of Neuchtel (Switzerland) is a high-risk area for Lyme Borreliosis, due to a high density of infected Ixodes ricinus ticks. In this study, we evaluated the risk of subclinical (seroconversion) and clinical infection after a tick bite in Neuchtel inhabitants from 2003 to 2005.

Inhabitants have been invited, through media, to visit a physician after a tick bite.

A questionnaire was filled out and two blood samples were taken at 8-week interval. EIA screening tests for IgM and IgG (IMX system, Abbott) were applied for paired sera.

In case of a change in antibody titres between both samples, a homemade Western-blot using Borrelia afzelii, B. burgdorferi sensu stricto and B. garinii as antigens was performed.

Participants were included into two groups.

Group one included asymptomatic participants (n=255). Among them, nine (3.5%) seroconverted with seroconversion rates varying between 6.8% in 2003, 2.1% in 2004 and 2.3% in 2005.

Participants who developed clinical symptoms of LB were included into group two (n=14).

Erythema migrans (EM) was reported in 5.2% of participants (5.2%), varying between 7.5% in 2003, 5% in 2004 and 3.4% in 2005.

Ticks obtained from 186 participants were examined for B. burgdorferi infection by PCR/Reverse Line Blotting, and by Real Time PCR and tick attachment duration was estimated.

Among I. ricinus ticks collected from participants, 32.8% were infected by B. burgdorferi sensu lato. B. afzelii predominated among these ticks.

Globally, 65.9% of nymphs remained attached for more than 24h whereas only 38.3% of female ticks remained attached for more than 24h.

We observed that 6.6% and 2.4% of participants bitten by infected and uninfected ticks, respectively, developed EM.

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hammond
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Ha ha! 6.6% and 2.4% is waaay low! I 've always wondered about the rash "statistics" that are trotted around. I got Lyme just a fifteen minute drive from Lyme CT and never got a rash! I was WB positive from the get go. And of course I 'm not the only one.

I suppose Dr. Baker and the rest will simply say different "strain" of Bb, won't they? Thanks Tincup!

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James1979
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Another messed up thing is that when they recommend that we take the IDSA prophylactic of a single dose of 200mg doxycycline, we have an 80% chance less of developing the rash, but it doesn't lower our chances of getting the disease! So basically their prophylaxis gives us more of a chance to go undiagnosed.

I took the prophylaxis, and I never got a rash.

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